Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 306.685876 348.426348 395.241492 451.920917 519.060081 596.514423 693.298468
2025-01-05 239.434314 291.931706 356.318880 442.174613 555.302888 701.643559 909.244364
2025-01-12 204.847942 261.460384 335.103416 439.957286 588.848687 798.207311 1125.299374
2025-01-19 174.434646 230.094308 305.663776 418.636605 588.459189 843.357548 1273.940809
2025-01-26 163.304216 222.447307 306.204365 437.698183 647.245963 984.092788 1603.322763
2025-02-02 156.016183 218.824168 311.281458 463.228535 719.242015 1159.320348 2040.427175
2025-02-09 144.157566 206.870164 302.048531 464.306374 750.403765 1270.483064 2391.024248
2025-02-16 131.403372 192.097781 286.536530 452.484164 756.458815 1336.090629 2667.913366
2025-02-23 121.047958 179.991219 273.833655 443.450469 765.528159 1408.507459 2982.274615
2025-03-02 115.779724 175.426667 272.846702 454.612562 814.233820 1571.476695 3569.991839
2025-03-09 109.145864 167.985745 266.165383 454.340862 840.002862 1690.795338 4093.223287
2025-03-16 101.775694 158.682177 255.336447 444.808128 844.903025 1763.632341 4517.063976
2025-03-23 96.439709 152.582577 249.885761 445.627061 873.556768 1903.786584 5221.763290
2025-03-30 90.101424 144.280909 239.759442 436.009932 877.773152 1985.196427 5784.000361
2025-04-06 85.400255 138.481407 233.672253 433.832274 898.674682 2116.167188 6595.597669
2025-04-13 78.766328 128.756368 219.416320 412.877565 871.418203 2107.769048 6877.305926
2025-04-20 77.515592 128.674800 223.474683 431.612113 944.987803 2411.222334 8640.585988
2025-04-27 76.977427 129.839432 230.023878 456.699087 1040.192658 2815.148351 11230.433430
2025-05-04 73.892736 125.986522 226.231769 457.758076 1071.634116 3024.024035 13053.126401
2025-05-11 69.786138 119.915831 217.454917 446.142045 1065.861592 3103.532619 14234.380136
2025-05-18 66.256762 114.746053 210.150857 437.265030 1066.580938 3208.189155 15692.188998
2025-05-25 64.800608 113.520859 210.966281 448.233418 1127.974209 3565.331701 19295.882512
2025-06-01 62.445811 110.366338 207.434104 447.966446 1155.357372 3800.061033 22366.317917